Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.995048 1.122563 1.261890 1.425702 1.613378 1.822081 2.072310
2025-01-05 0.782774 0.950581 1.149422 1.403560 1.721369 2.107785 2.616407
2025-01-12 0.670193 0.853964 1.083645 1.393999 1.805771 2.338013 3.085614
2025-01-19 0.570171 0.754467 0.994695 1.334017 1.806175 2.447583 3.397986
2025-01-26 0.521787 0.714036 0.974228 1.356735 1.912521 2.702748 3.933096
2025-02-02 0.484002 0.682399 0.960060 1.383172 2.022519 2.970167 4.514471
2025-02-09 0.448072 0.648779 0.938222 1.393789 2.107071 3.205256 5.071706
2025-02-16 0.416317 0.617594 0.915922 1.399651 2.182337 3.430800 5.638092
2025-02-23 0.393690 0.597611 0.907834 1.425365 2.289651 3.716345 6.337788
2025-03-02 0.360136 0.557575 0.864751 1.389976 2.291584 3.825211 6.740454
2025-03-09 0.343731 0.543088 0.860502 1.417253 2.400757 4.127072 7.528167
2025-03-16 0.320769 0.515968 0.833185 1.402350 2.433851 4.296218 8.086043
2025-03-23 0.304727 0.499449 0.822762 1.416911 2.523311 4.581878 8.918959
2025-03-30 0.284249 0.473877 0.794934 1.397959 2.549169 4.751288 9.542655
2025-04-06 0.267318 0.453024 0.773432 1.388131 2.590454 4.953676 10.261567
2025-04-13 0.244346 0.419852 0.727516 1.328457 2.528364 4.942179 10.513665
2025-04-20 0.235482 0.411200 0.725027 1.351068 2.631878 5.280246 11.595205
2025-04-27 0.227776 0.404032 0.724588 1.377383 2.745255 5.651491 12.809043
2025-05-04 0.218557 0.393364 0.716695 1.387950 2.826394 5.961737 13.923803
2025-05-11 0.209431 0.382207 0.706976 1.393785 2.897671 6.257739 15.048639
2025-05-18 0.203264 0.376256 0.706848 1.419380 3.014753 6.671854 16.542126
2025-05-25 0.190708 0.357050 0.679175 1.384155 2.991294 6.752839 17.165829
2025-06-01 0.185725 0.352433 0.680385 1.411305 3.113805 7.199280 18.860411